arXiv — Machine Learning · · 3 min read

A Controlled Audit of Personal AI Memory for Rating Prediction

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Computer Science > Machine Learning

arXiv:2610.02764 (cs)
[Submitted on 2 Oct 2026]

Title:A Controlled Audit of Personal AI Memory for Rating Prediction

Authors:Shivam Gupta
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Abstract:In structured rating prediction, does a personal AI use historical item-rating associations, or mainly the user's rating tendencies? We audit this distinction by permuting historical ratings within each user while preserving the exact rating distribution, item support, and metadata. We combine this control with full history, native memory extraction, and matched numerical readers in a publicly frozen evaluation of 400 held-out user profiles and 6,160 target ratings across Coat and MovieLens. On Coat, the tested Qwen-written Mem0 pipeline increases user-macro mean absolute error relative to full history by 0.084 for Qwen and 0.149 for Phi; both family-adjusted bootstrap intervals exclude zero. Correct historical assignments help both readers on Coat, but the corresponding MovieLens effects are smaller and inconclusive after adjustment. A history-only ridge reader outperforms Qwen in both domains and Phi on MovieLens, while the Coat Phi comparison is unresolved. All 2,800 reader calls, including 150 invalid outputs, are retained under a fixed fallback rule. A separate implementation verifies inputs, metrics, and all ten primary contrasts. The contribution is a reproducible diagnostic study showing why extraction, association use, output reliability, and reader choice require separate evaluation.
Comments: 15 pages. Code and reproducibility materials: this https URL
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2610.02764 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2610.02764v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.02764
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Shivam Gupta [view email]
[v1] Fri, 2 Oct 2026 03:43:17 UTC (87 KB)
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