arXiv — NLP / Computation & Language · · 3 min read

Can a Lightweight Multimodal Model Estimate LLM Reasoning Performance? A Study for Compute-Optimal Document Inference

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Computer Science > Artificial Intelligence

arXiv:2608.18591 (cs)
[Submitted on 19 Aug 2026]

Title:Can a Lightweight Multimodal Model Estimate LLM Reasoning Performance? A Study for Compute-Optimal Document Inference

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Abstract:Uniformly allocating inference reasoning budgets to LLMs is expensive and prone to over-thinking penalties; especially in document tasks where visual layouts drive complexity. To address this, we introduce BudgetDoc, the first multimodal benchmark providing explicit supervision for model-budget-performance trade-offs across three document tasks. Using BudgetDoc, we train DRB (Document-Reasoning Balancer), an approx. 1B-parameter pre-flight estimator (SigLIP-2 + Qwen3-0.6B) that predicts ordinal model performance across budget levels, achieving a 0.753 weighted F1. When dynamically allocating reasoning budgets across five frontier models and three datasets, DRB matches or improves F1 scores compared to always-maximum-budget baselines in 9 of 15 configurations while drastically reducing cost. Finally, preliminary evaluations demonstrate DRB's potential to generalize to cross-model selection.
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Computation and Language (cs.CL)
Cite as: arXiv:2608.18591 [cs.AI]
  (or arXiv:2608.18591v1 [cs.AI] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.18591
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Zishan Ahmad [view email]
[v1] Wed, 19 Aug 2026 06:33:33 UTC (71 KB)
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