Beyond Risk Prediction: Evidence Grounding and Psychosocial Factor Verification for Explainable Suicide Risk Assessment
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Computer Science > Computation and Language
arXiv:2610.08842 (cs)
[Submitted on 30 Sep 2026]
Title:Beyond Risk Prediction: Evidence Grounding and Psychosocial Factor Verification for Explainable Suicide Risk Assessment
View a PDF of the paper titled Beyond Risk Prediction: Evidence Grounding and Psychosocial Factor Verification for Explainable Suicide Risk Assessment, by Tianle Hu and 5 other authors
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Abstract:Identifying suicide risk from social networking services (SNS) posts is important for detecting suicide-related signals in online environments. However, risk classification alone provides limited insight into the textual evidence and psychosocial factors behind a prediction. Based on the IEEE BigData 2026 Explainable Suicide Risk Detection Challenge, this study presents a framework consisting of Risk Assessment, Evidence Grounding, and Factor Identification. Risk Assessment uses length-based routing to accommodate posts of different lengths. Evidence Grounding identifies supporting phrases and uses a Risk-Evidence constraint to maintain consistency with the Risk prediction. For Factor Identification, two verifiers are used. The Taxonomy Verifier focuses on factor semantics, whereas the Evidence-Aware Verifier uses factor-specific lexical-semantic cues to select informative positive training units. Their prediction probabilities are combined to produce the final factor predictions. The three tasks are evaluated using task-specific F1 score measures. Risk Assessment achieved a Weighted F1 of 0.8088, Evidence Grounding achieved a test Macro row F1 of 0.7605, and Factor Identification achieved a Macro F1 of 0.5562. The results show that the framework can provide risk predictions, along with supporting textual evidence and fine-grained information on psychosocial factors. Overall, the proposed framework extends suicide-risk assessment beyond risk-level prediction and provides a more interpretable analysis of SNS posts.
| Comments: | 8 pages, 1 figure, 4 tables. Accepted at the 2nd Workshop on Mental Health Disorder Detection on Social Media (MHSM 2026), held in conjunction with IEEE ICDM 2026 |
| Subjects: | Computation and Language (cs.CL); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG) |
| Cite as: | arXiv:2610.08842 [cs.CL] |
| (or arXiv:2610.08842v1 [cs.CL] for this version) | |
| https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.08842
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite
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View a PDF of the paper titled Beyond Risk Prediction: Evidence Grounding and Psychosocial Factor Verification for Explainable Suicide Risk Assessment, by Tianle Hu and 5 other authors
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