What happens next, after the decline of tokenmaxxing?
Mirrored from Marcus on AI for archival readability. Support the source by reading on the original site.
Within hours of when I posted yesterday’s essay on the decline of tokenmaxxing, I saw further converging evidence, such as this:
and
Furthermore I saw bunch of other people saying similar things noting the apparent decline of toxenmaxxing, such as Fortune’s Jeremy Kahn in his newsletter:
So ok, if that’s true, what’s next?
Here are two takes. First my own:
And second, AI researcher and benchmark creator , who fired back in a reply to me with a totally different, far more optimistic set of predictions, spelled out in admirable detail:
Within minutes, the contrasting pair of predictions become a meme:
We agreed to check back in 12 months to see how these predictions are going.
Stay tuned. And feel free to drop a comment below.
More from Marcus on AI
-
It remains “very difficult [to find] actual, materially measurable financial impacts” from spending on AI, per new study
Oct 14
-
Could this be the Frontier Labs’ WeWork moment?
Oct 13
-
We must recall open-ended AI agents with internet access from the market, now
Oct 10
-
Complementary remarks from Gary Marcus and Terence Tao on OpenAI’s giant math drop
Oct 7




Discussion (0)
Sign in to join the discussion. Free account, 30 seconds — email code or GitHub.
Sign in →No comments yet. Sign in and be the first to say something.