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Beyond Parallel Blindness: Information Floors and Model Gaps in Block Drafting

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Computer Science > Machine Learning

arXiv:2608.27339 (cs)
[Submitted on 27 Aug 2026]

Title:Beyond Parallel Blindness: Information Floors and Model Gaps in Block Drafting

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Abstract:Block drafters propose several tokens in one forward pass, before earlier target tokens are realised. Their rejection mixes two losses: missing within-block path information and imperfect modelling of observable information. Accepted length cannot distinguish them. We separate the two with an information floor, the minimum expected rejection at a specified conditioning order; rejection above this floor is the model gap. Estimating both from target rollouts across four domains, four open-weight targets, and a frontier API target yields three findings. First, the all-parallel floor reaches $0.286$ at the final slot on Qwen3-4B, limiting even the best proposal to $71\%$ per-slot acceptance. Second, one realised token removes $86$--$100\%$ of this floor, a locality also recovered by an independent mutual-information analysis. Third, current drafters remain far above their floors: the final-slot model gap accounts for $43$--$64\%$ of DFlash rejection and $85$--$92\%$ of DSpark's oracle-conditioned rejection. These findings separate the value of short-range conditioning from proposal quality.
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG); Computation and Language (cs.CL); Information Theory (cs.IT)
Cite as: arXiv:2608.27339 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2608.27339v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.27339
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Xinwei Qiang [view email]
[v1] Thu, 27 Aug 2026 16:40:45 UTC (94 KB)
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