TRACE: A Governance Framework for Measuring Explainability Debt in Production AI Systems
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Computer Science > Machine Learning
arXiv:2610.10957 (cs)
[Submitted on 7 Oct 2026]
Title:TRACE: A Governance Framework for Measuring Explainability Debt in Production AI Systems
Authors:Harish Kant Pathak
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Abstract:Production AI systems deployed in high-stakes domains accumulate a governance liability that existing monitoring frameworks fail to detect: the progressive inability to explain individual decisions when regulators, auditors, or affected individuals demand accountability. We introduce TRACE (Transparency, Risk, Accountability, Compliance, and Explainability), a seven-instrument governance framework for measuring, tracking, and remediating Explainability Debt in production AI systems. The foundational instrument, the Explainability Debt Score (EDS), quantifies the proportion of production decisions falling below a governance-defined explainability confidence threshold at any point in time. Complementary instruments include DART (Debt Accumulation Rate Tracker for breach forecasting), SHIV (Scenario Health and Integrity Validator for daily governance), FDE (Feature Drift Evaluator for causal attribution), HVE (Human Validation Engine), AIDE (Audit Intervention Decision Engine), and ZERO (Zero Explainability Risk Optimiser for remediation). Through a twelve-month longitudinal case study of a production fraud detection system processing 50,000 daily financial transactions, achieving 98.46% accuracy and ROC-AUC of 0.9990, we demonstrate that an EDS of 0.23 on audit day was statistically predictable six months in advance using DART trajectory analysis (beta = 0.008/week, R-squared = 0.94, 95% CI: [0.006, 0.010]), and that 78% of Explainability Debt was concentrated in the highest-regulatory-risk decision category (transactions above $10,000), a risk asymmetry completely invisible to system-level metrics. TRACE provides the first quantitative operational architecture for EU AI Act Article 13 compliance in production AI deployment, establishing a new subdiscipline of explanation governance distinct from explanation generation.
| Comments: | 28 pages, 4 figures, 4 tables. Keynote presented at ICIDS 2026 (Manipal University Jaipur) and IEEE Al-Khwarizmi 2026. IEEE Senior Member #101994709. U.S. Provisional Patent Application No. 64/159,545 (USPTO Confirmation #9430) covers aspects of the TRACE/EDS framework |
| Subjects: | Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) |
| Cite as: | arXiv:2610.10957 [cs.LG] |
| (or arXiv:2610.10957v1 [cs.LG] for this version) | |
| https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.10957
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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